Historical Returns

The following represents the BLOG's 2010 ETF returns vis-a-vis other benchmark investment measures:

------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500

S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."

Thursday, January 28, 2010

An Intellectual Theory

There is an intellectual theory asserting that markets are a random walk. I never believed that theory. I believe that many markets do trend over certain timeframes. If you want partial proof, or at least a counter-example, just look at the behavior of the last two weeks. The U.S. Dollar has been generally strong. For the most part, most of the other markets we track were down: stock markets, metals, energy, and food.

There are no new signals for tomorrow. The existing positions are shown below. Both of these positions improved in value from yesterday.

Long Soybeans SH10: Entry Price: 955 Stop: 919 Last: 932.75

Short Euro ETF EOU Entry Price 18.49 Stop: 19.09 Last: 19.57
Short Euro EUH10: 144.97 Stop: 142.09 Last: 139.70


Any views expressed herein are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest.

The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy.

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