Historical Returns

The following represents the BLOG's 2010 ETF returns vis-a-vis other benchmark investment measures:

------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500

S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."

Sunday, January 24, 2010

A Good Week for Us

This was a rough week for the markets we follow. The currencies, foods, energies, metals and stock markets fell, while the U.S. Dollar rose.

This week also screamed the message of the philosophy BLOG of a few days ago. There are times to be in, times to be out, and times to sometime be short markets. If you have a chance, go back and read the BLOG on philosophy dated January 20.

We have one new signal for Monday (actually Sunday afternoon) that is to buy Soybeans. The future symbol is SH10. The record was 97 wins out of 120 trades for an 80% win ratio. I don't know of an ETF for Soybeans, but if one of you does, please share it with our group. I will say this, it is scary to go long anything right now, given the markets of last week. However, the signal is saying that Soybeans are over-sold.

Also, if you would like the perspective of a market-genius on the foods, then watch the following:



You certainly don't have to guess anything about Rogers' opinion. He has been an immensely successful investor.

I want to say again, that I appreciate the emails I have been receiving. Keep them coming!

This week brought 3 new signals, two to short silver, and one to short the Euro. All three futures signals were extremely profitable. From the ETF standpoint, the Euro and first Silver signals were profitable, while the second silver signal broke-even. To repeat from previous posts, the reason for this is that the futures markets trade on a different time-clock than the ETFs. For longer-term signals this shouldn't be an issue, but for short-term signals it can be material.

Have a great day!

Short SI ETF SLV Entry Price 4.54 Stop: 4.55 Last: 4.56
Short SI SIH10: 17.445 Stop: 17.055 Last: 16.932

Short Euro ETF EOU Entry Price 18.49 Stop: 18.84 Last: 19.16
Short Euro EUH10: 144.97 Stop: 143.07 Last: 141.33
The Euro numbers are unchanged from the last BLOG

Any views expressed herein are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest.

The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy.

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