There is a lot to cover today. I would ask all of you to post comments or to email me if you
1) need clarifation on something, or
2) need more information
New signals for today:
1) Buy Cotton (ETF:BAL future:CTH10) Historical record: 40/52= 77%
2) Buy the British Pound (ETF:FXB future:BPH10) Historical record: 76/97= 78%
Comments: Cotton has been recommended for a long time by my hero of the investment world, Jimmy Rogers. Why? The Global Economy is expanding every day. China and India are growing by leaps and bounds, and it just makes sense that cotton would rise in price as more and more people buy clothing.
However, buying the British pound is rather scary to me. After all, Britain's economy has not been all that great. Buying the British Pound would be betting that the English might do better than we here in the US. In any event, the signal was generated by my programs, not by fundamental information. Note also that we are currently long both gold and silver. The British Pound is positively correlated to Gold and Silver, therefore, going long the Pound may present one with contagion risk.
Existing Positions for Computer Generated Signals:
Gold: ETF(IAU) Entry price: 113.38 Close: 112.99 Stop: 112.39
Silver: ETF(SLV) Entry price: 18.14 Close: 18.15 Stop: 17.76
Gold: GCG10 Entry Price: 1139.00 Close: 1149.90 Stop: 1143.80
Silver: SIH10 Entry Price: 18.565 Close: 18.55 Stop: 18.16
Good luck to all!
Any views expressed herein are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest.
Our purpose is to quantitatively analyze markets to identify trends and over-bought/over-sold situations. We use computer programs applied to large amounts of data and trade markets by mathematical algorithms. We track these algorithmically-generated trades with ETFs and Futures. This BLOG is provided free of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest.
Historical Returns
The following represents the BLOG's 2010 ETF returns vis-a-vis other benchmark investment measures:
------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500
S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."
------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500
S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."
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