Historical Returns

The following represents the BLOG's 2010 ETF returns vis-a-vis other benchmark investment measures:

------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500

S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."

Friday, February 4, 2011

Two New Signals for Monday: Buy Gold and Sell Cotton

New Signals:

Go LONG Gold: Symbols: GCJ11 and GLD. Record: 75 wins out of 88 trades for 85%. Initial Stop: about 2.0%.

Go SHORT Cotton: Symbols: CTH11 and BAL. Record: 8 wins out of 11 trades for 72%. Initial Stop: about 2.8%.

I am having trouble justifying the cotton signal. The principles are sound, but the number of trades is small. Also, Cotton has been on a path straight up this year, so it is scary to go short. Nonetheless, I shall probably track it since the algorithm was developed so as to measure an extremely over-bought condition. Likewise, the other signal is saying Gold is over-sold.

See you Monday!




If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
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