Historical Returns

The following represents the BLOG's 2010 ETF returns vis-a-vis other benchmark investment measures:

------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500


S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."

Capital Exposure For The ETF Portfolio

The ETF Portfolio is constructed using up to five active positions. Each position is allocated 20% of the portfolio captial. However, oftentimes there is no capital allocated to a particular 20% slot. This money is assumed to earn nothing, but by the same token, is not exposed to market risk. Last year, the BLOG portfolio earned 26.6%, but I thought it would be instructive to figure out how much market exposure the portfolio had. As a benchmark, consider that each position has a potential to be in the market 365 days. Therefore, the five 20% positions have a potential number of days of exposure of 5 x 365 = 1,825. In fact, the BLOG was exposed to the market an actual 1,112 days. The ratio of exposure is 1,112/1,825 = 61%. This says that "on average" our total capital was only exposed to the market 61% of the time. Yet, we still returned 26.6%. The key here is that on average the algorithms put us in the market at the right times, and out of the market at the right times.