Historical Returns

The following represents the BLOG's 2010 ETF returns vis-a-vis other benchmark investment measures:

------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500


S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."

Thursday, April 29, 2010

Big Moves Today

The big market winners today were Silver, Crude Oil and the stock markets. Our computer positions generally gained, except for the short S&P. Crude oil was up 2.8%. It is not illogical to believe that a worldwide recovery will result in much, much higher oil prices.

The usual results are shown below.

There are three new signals for tomorrow: Buy Crude Oil, buy Silver, and buy the Aussie. However, only one is effective for BLOG-tracking purposes, and I will explain.

We are already long the Aussie in the BLOG. The signal (actually two new Aussie signals) is redundant and will not be tracked in the BLOG results. However, the new signals are simply reinforcing (or, should I say, reassuring). The track record for the system is 20/23=87% historically.

The second signal was to buy silver, and has already been stopped out overnight with a gain of $200 on the futures contract. Therefore, there will be no corresponding entry for the ETF.

Finally, there is another signal to buy Crude Oil. Our BLOG record on Oil has not been very good. However, the system has a historical record of 31/40=78%. The symbol for the future is CLM10 and for the ETF it is OIL. That's certainly easy to remember. Crude is up 34 cents tonight in overseas trading as I write this BLOG.

PORTFOLIO #1 Symbol Entry Stop Close Profit Days
Long Platinum PLJ10 1534.90 1653.70 1713.60 $8,935 64
Long Zealand NE1M10 71.15 69.20 72.15 $1,000 15
Long Zealand BNZ 22.45 21.87 22.80 1.6% 15
Short S&P SPM10 1195.75 1230.75 1205.25 -$475 10
Short S&P SH 48.00 46.84 47.83 -0.4% 10
Long Aussie ADM10 92.13 90.53 92.31 $180 9
Long Aussie FXA 92.87 91.24 93.03 0.2% 9
Short Zealand NE1M10 71.70 73.13 72.15 -$450 1

PORTFOLIO #2 Symbol Entry Stop Close Profit Days
Long British BPM10 149.75 151.11 153.25 $2,188 31
Long British FXB 150.46 150.55 152.68 1.5% 31


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest.The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy.

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