Historical Returns

The following represents the BLOG's 2010 ETF returns vis-a-vis other benchmark investment measures:

------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500

S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

Interesting Financial News Today

Our Cotton position had another good gain today, up another 1%!

Financial News Headlines:
1) There may be a bailout in the future for Greece
2) 7000+ planes were grounded today because of weather
3) According to Edmunds, Toyota ranks 17th in unit complaints per car. This is compared to 20 car companies, where #20 is the best. Mercedes and Porsche are 18 and 19. The #1 ranking belongs to Land Rover (worst unit complaints per car). Data is based upon the period 2001 to 2010. The purpose of this release was to help keep in perspective the recent news about the recalls. A group of Institutional Investors is buying Toyota right now.
4) Our trade deficit widened unexpectedly.

The big new signal: buy Platinum. The record is 28 wins out of 32 trades (88%) historically. Average number of trading days in the market: 21, or about a calendar month. An ETF is PGM; however, it is a thinly traded ETF, so be careful.

There are also signals to buy the Austrailian Dollar, Canadian Dollar, Euro, Copper, and Gold. I am not going to present all of the statistics on each system. Suffice it to say that all of the buy signals are statistically correlated, so they are really all saying the same thing. The U.S. Dollar will weaken and commodities and other currencies will strenthen.

Open Positions

Long Cotton ETF BAL: Entry Price 34.02 Stop: 34.70 Last: 35.59
Long Cotton CTH10: Entry Price: 69.82 Stop: 71.04 Last: 72.82

Short Euro ETF EOU: Entry Price 18.49 Stop: 20.19 Last: 20.19
Short Euro EUH10: Entry Price: 144.97 Stop: 138.64 Last: 137.36
Technically, the Euro ETF was stopped out, while the future was not. Suggest a new stop of 19.98 if you didn't put one in before. This is another anamoly between the futures and the ETFs.

Any views expressed herein are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest.

The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy.



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