Historical Returns

The following represents the BLOG's 2010 ETF returns vis-a-vis other benchmark investment measures:

------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500


S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."

Saturday, February 25, 2012

NEW 96% SIGNAL FOR MONDAY

My newest algorithm has popped out a 25/26 signal for Sunday afternoon to buy the New Zealand Dollar.

Details to follow.  Statistically, they don't get much better than this!

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Metal stops: HGH12 378.65 GCJ12 1745.4 PLJ12 1705.50

SIH12 stopped out at 34.00  (it is up from there now).


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Tuesday, February 21, 2012

Metals are Glimmering

The action has been good as shown in the Table below.  Today we have multiple signals on the metals through multiple algorithms.  This has historically been a good omen, but there are no guarantees!




If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Buy all Metals! Details will follow

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Japanese Yen Stop Moves to 126.39

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Monday, February 20, 2012

Gold stopped out at 1731.30; Swiss stopped out at 109.57

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Friday, February 17, 2012

READ THIS BLOG

Good news, bad news, new news!

Our new Natural Gas position exploded today.  I liked the signal because I like T. Boone Pickens' plan.  Obama gave it lip service during the campaign, and again at the State of the Union Speech.  However, Pickens said recently on Bloomberg that he is still waiting for Washington to actually do something to replace foreign oil with clean-burning natural gas.  The future gained over $1200 today and the ETF 1.6%.

The Japanese Yen fell out of bed, making our short position very profitable at $2300 of equity or a profit for the ETF of 1.6% as well.

We recorded a big loss in the Copper position for BLOG purposes.  However, please realize that I only update the BLOG periodically.  The true 24-hour per day system recorded a small gain on the future, but because I did not document it quickly enough on the BLOG, I recorded it for history as a loss.

The New News is 4 new signals that have been algorithmically-generated, and they all have excellent historical records.  I can't take them all because our portfolio consists of no more than 5 ETF positions.  The signals are shown in the table below. 

Buy Gold, Platinum, the British Pound and the Swiss Franc.  We will add GLD, the Gold ETF to our ETF portfolio in the BLOG.  For futures, we will track Gold, GCJ12 and British Pound.  All of the statistics follow:




If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Natural Gas Stop moves to 2.6170

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Copper stopped out: exit ETF

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Updated stops PLJ12:1633.10, JYH12: 126.77and NGH12: 2.6040

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Thursday, February 16, 2012

Signals for Tomorrow: buy Cocoa, Platinum and Nat Gas

A popular food that has been in decline since last April, Cocoa is due for a rally.  The futures market has closed for today, and a signal has been generated to buy Cocoa:  CCK12 and NIB for the ETF.  The record is about 70%, with high profits per trade.

Platinum and Natural Gas are also on the buy list.....see below.  I like these signals.  One more thing, a redundant signal to buy Copper.  This simply serves to reinforce our existing signal. 

ETF portfolio will be full now......we have a 5 position maximum.




If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Wednesday, February 15, 2012

Are we in the beginning of a Recovery?

No one can predict the future reliably.  Economists tend to follow the trend, and so they aren't very good at taking a radical stand about what the numbers will be.

However, there is one pretty good indicator over the years.  The stock market generally moves about 9 months ahead of economic statistics, whether good or bad.  Is it right all of the time?  No, certainly not.  And does it predict magnitude?  No.  But it does predict direction.  LOOK at these charts of the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq futures:




Pretty nice rallies eh?  Straight up as it were.  Are they telling us something about the next 9 months?  We know that Election Years are usually good for the stock market.  This is simply food for thought.


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Buy Copper Market on Open......symbols HGH12 and JJC

Copper has gone down from nearly 4.00 to 3.80 in the last several trading days.  It has rallied previously, so I like this signal.  Copper will fuel the world recovery, if that is indeed in the cards. 

No more signals yet.  Data will continue to come in and we will update if there are any changes.







If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Tuesday, February 14, 2012

Valentine's Day Signal: Sell Short the Japanese Yen, updates later

Symbols are JYH12 for the future and FXY for the ETF.  In addition, another confirming signal to buy Soy Meal (but this will not be tracked in the BLOG, since it is redundant).

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Swiss Franc Stopped Out at 109.18

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Monday, February 13, 2012

Buy Soy Meal

Thanks to reader and friend Tom who caught a spelling error in the Post entitled "3 dimensional investing."

Please see the new position to buy SMH12 in the table below.  In addition, we stay short the Swiss Franc, and long sugar.  Two other positions were cashed out today with gains on the ETFs but losses on the futures.  Have a great afternoon!






If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Friday, February 10, 2012

3 Dimensional Investing

The world of investments in Wall Street has traditionally been a universe consisting of bonds and equities.  These are the two dimensions of investing in modern portfolio theory. 

1)  Bonds have done well over the past 20 years.  Interest rates have continually dropped (though not always monotonically), and therefore prices have had an upward trend.  For those bonds that didn't default, the coupon yield or discount to maturity have added to the pie.  Whether bonds will continue to be lucrative remains to be seen, but who among you is predicting that rates will fall more?  Is the coupon yield being offered enough to satisfy your demands upon your investments?  This remains to be seen, but I know many readers are skeptical about bonds.

2)  Then there are equities.  While there was a great bull market, not without interruptions, between 1980 and 2000, there hasn't been such a rise since then.  Since 2000, the major indices have oscillated, sometimes violently, underneath previous all-time highs.  Are we in a "bear market" or a "sideways" market?  For the Nasdaq, I would vote bear, since it is still 40% beneath its 2000 high.  But even if you go with "sideways" for the S&P and Russell 2000 indices, this would still be a revelation for many average investors.  Their Wall Street "buy and hold" mantra has been far from optimal for the past 12 years.  Modern portfolio theory puts us in a two dimensional-world with a mixture of stocks and bonds.  But with sideways stocks and interest rates at very low levels, this "mixture" could end up as a formula for investment disaster.

3)  Bear markets in equities average 20 years according to one university study; and commodities generally rise during this time, and conversely.  So, we add a third investment dimension, that of commodities:  things that can be owned.  Now, owing to modern technology, gold, food, and other commodities can be invested in without having to have a warehouse in which to store them.  Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are traded on the stock exchanges, and with them one can avoid the leverage inherent in the traditional commodity vehicles such as futures contracts.  The ETF world of commodities allows an investment in non-paper assets (non-equities, and non-bonds) ironically through a paper vehicle known as the ETF.  These vehicles can rise in the midst of hyper-inflation while equities and bonds plummet due to rising interest rates.  In fact, inflation, almost by its very definition will cause a rise in these instruments.  Furthermore, to the extent that any world currency is debased, there is also a possible gain due to a smart currency play.  Last year, on balance, was a good time to be long the Aussie Dollar and the Canadian Dollar, whilst the US financial rating was downgraded.

In the next 8 years, if the bear market plays out its "average" length, it seems reasonable to add a 3rd dimension to our investment portfolio.  Commodities should be considered as an alternative.  Many smart investors have known this for years.  Certainly, the Harvard Endowment Fund was one.  George Soros, Jimmy Rodgers, the list goes on and on.

For more information, have a look at some of the BLOG pages.  One page lists ETF symbols of interest, others our methodology. 

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

What a difference a day makes!

Markets reversed directions today, amid concern about the turmoil surrounding the Greek bailouts.  The dollar strengthened against other currencies.  Metals and other commodities fell.  We will exit gold and the Euro on Monday.  We have one new signal to sell short the Swiss Franc (indicating a stronger US Dollar).  Some caveats here: 
  1. the system is only 2 wins out of 2 trades for 100%
  2. this is not statistically credible
  3. during the data study period, the US Dollar has generally plummeted, while the Swiss has risen, so a short signal would be a relative anomaly in itself
  4. the mathematical principles involved in the signal are sound; they are simply a mirror image of analogous buy signals.
Our positions are summarized below.  Have a great weekend, and be well!

Coming to the BLOG:  a short article on three dimensional investing.







If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Thursday, February 9, 2012

Buy the Euro and Gold (continued)

Both of these signals have high win-ratios, but like anything, are by no means certain! 

We were stopped out of Soy Meal, stopped out of the British Pound.  Our stop wasn't published last night, but you can stay long the Pound, or exit now and switch to the Euro.  I have switched to the Euro.  Also, we exited Copper.

The markets are somewhat over-bought, especially the stock markets, but it is future information that is making the "smart money" move the markets.  This is always the case, and we usually find out why later.

Have a nice afternoon!












If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Buy Euro Currency and buy GOLD....details to follow later this afternoon

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Wednesday, February 8, 2012

One new signal.......buy crude oil...CLH12 and OIL....good luck!

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Tuesday, February 7, 2012

No New Signals for this Afternoon--Updated

Last night found the markets opening lower overseas, but then charging higher.

Exit Copper Market on Open.

For your information, there is a duplicate signal to buy Sugar (ignored for tracking purposes since we are already long). 

Also, we made money intra-night on the short silver position; we did not follow our short gold because of contagion risk.

Finally, we did not follow the Swiss Franc signal due to the fact that we are long the British Pound.  However, note that our buy Euro and Swiss would made money.  We are simply not tracking them in the BLOG because of contagion risk.









If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Monday, February 6, 2012

4 Exciting New Signals for this Afternoon!

The table below shows four new algorithmically-generated signals for this afternoon.  Exisiting positions are portrayed as well.




If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Copper Stopped Out Overnight.

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Friday, February 3, 2012

Friday is a Good Day for the BLOG!

Cotton and Soy Meal were up nearly 2% today, eclipsing the gains on the S&P 500 Index.  We also took a quick gain on Heating Oil, before it continued to soar even higher.  It was clear that the algorithms properly predicted today's market direction. 

Two signals popped out for Super Bowl Sunday:  buy the Euro Currency, and buy Copper.  For BLOG purposes, we will not go long the Euro because we are already long the British Pound, and wish to avoid contagion risk.  We will buy copper and track it, but be advised, this signal is often short-lived, and Copper had a huge run-up today, so is likely to experience profit-taking.  Nonetheless, my instincts have all been wrong this week.  I was reticent to short Cotton, and then after making money short, was afraid to go long.  Yet, both positions made money this past week.  Oh, well!  That's why this investor uses algorithms in the first place!



If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Thursday, February 2, 2012

New Trade

New algorithmically-generated trade:  buy heating oil!








If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

New Signal

Buy Soymeal, exit Soybeans (SMH12, SH12).  Wheat Stop 657.  BPH stop 154.26.  CTH12 stop 89.26.

More tomorrow morning. 


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Cover Short Natural Gas

Wheat stop moves to 655.5.

Our BLOG for this afternoon will be delayed.

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Tuesday, January 31, 2012

Unbelievable Developments

One of the reasons that I trade algorithmically is that I know that I couldn't possibly arrive at many of the recommendations using simply fundamental information. 

As mentioned, the Wheat stop WH12 is 652.5, locking in a small profit for the long position.  We are short cotton, with a $1,700 gain on CTH12.  However, a new signal has arisen with another system to buy cotton, again symbol CTH12, or BAL for the ETF.  Unexpected, to be sure.  Finally, even with our long Wheat, we have an independently generated signal to sell short soybeans, symbol SH12.  (we'll also exit long Soy Oil)  This contradicts the Wheat position, since the grains usually move in tandum.  Also, buy the British Pound and sell short Natural Gas.



All the best!


Dan

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Monday, January 30, 2012

No New Signals for Today

Due to strength in the US Dollar, every other investment was mostly down today.  We were stopped out of two positions, one with a gain and the other with a loss (see the table below).

Our short Cotton position gained ground today.  There are no new signals.



If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Setting Stops

Based upon the comments of one of our readers, we have tried to clarify an element of our systems.  With our ETF trades, we set a stop each day.  Depending upon your broker, execution of your intened stop may be less than perfect.  Go to our BLOG Page entitled "shortcomings and limitations," item #2, and the issue of "slippage" and ETF stops will be dealt with there.

Thanks, Larry, for your insights.
Today's Post with new algorithmically-generated signals will be coming up shortly.

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Some develpments this morning

Short Cotton stop moves down to 95.95 as the markets fall.  Heating Oil stopped out at 305.57, for a loss.  Soy Meal stopped out at 316, for a gain.

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Friday, January 27, 2012

New, Open and Closed BLOG Positions

Here is the weekend BLOG for your perusual.



If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Stopped out of Sugar Today; Stopped out of Heating Oil

We had gains in Heating Oil and Sugar today and are out of these positions, with two new signals for Monday:

Buy Heating Oil (again), and buy Wheat.  Heating Oil has an ETF:  UHN, but Wheat does not.  The futures symbols are HOH12 and WH12.

More quantitative information will follow.

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

HOH12 stop 306.32

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

For Your Information

One of our readers provided me with this table:

View IMG_8562.jpg in slide show


Number of wars waged:  3


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Thursday, January 26, 2012

New and Active Positions

New and Active Positions appear below:





If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

So far, we have two new signals for today

Buy CLH12, March Crude Oil at the Market
Buy HOH12, March Heating Oil at the Market

Yesterday's action saw heating oil up 1.3%, while crude oil only rose .5%.  Natural Gas was down 4.5%, after the euphoria of the Obama clean energy proclamation settled into reality.

Amidst the uncertainty in the Middle East, these signals come only based upon mathematics.

Usually these two commodities move in tandum, so we will only follow one here in the BLOG.



If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Obama's State of the Union Speech

Our BLOG operates via mathematically-generated signals, not news events.  Over time, it is my conclusion that most speeches of significance get reflected into the market within hours, or even days before they occur.  Normal trends and directions resume shortly thereafter, based upon the fundamental economic situation.

We'll stick with our algorithms as our methodology.  However, it is significant to take note of how Obama's speech reflected into the Globex Markets. 

1)  Obama set forth many challenges to Congress, saying that he would sign certain legislation immediately if it were sent to him for signature.  Some of the ideas were brand new, and others were programs proposed within the past four years.  Either way, most of the speech reflected new spending without ways to pay for that spending.  This would ultimately result in more National Debt, and potentially a lower credit rating for the US.   Result:  the next day the foreign currencies rose sharply.  In addition, gold rose $50 per ounce.  Gold is often regarded by some as an "alternative currency."

2)  Obama talked about a new emphasis on "clean US energy."  This I applaud, as I always have.  Result:  the next day Natural Gas futures were up over 6%. 

3)  Apart from the "State of the Union,"  Gingrich talked about his desire to end sugar subsidies, something I favor as well.  The next day our long sugar position took a hit.  However, a day later it is recovering.

Our positions and stops will be set forth in a BLOG that will come out hopefully later today.

Have a great day!

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

2 signals today


 the copper signal h g h 12

 short cotton symbol c t h 12
Sent From My Wireless

Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Buy HGH12 (Copper) at the Market

This signal is likely to be short-lived.

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Monday, January 23, 2012

Today's Signal

Buy Soy Oil (akin to the long position in Soy Meal).  This has an historically good record, and not available as an ETF, only as a future:  BOH12.

Good luck!

Don't forget, if you wish to be notified of new posts, simply ask to be put on the mailing list by emailing me at bassanalytics@live.com!



If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Update

New signals are in the process of being generated as the data comes in.  However, here's a quick update of positions we took on and where they stand.

Sugar:  SBH12 stop 24.32
Euro:  ECH12 stopped out at 128.83
Soymeal:  SMH12 stop 315.0
Platinum:  PLJ12 stop 1539
Crude Oil:  CLH12  exit at market

We'll be back after the new signals have been generated.


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Buy Sugar, SGG, SBH12

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Copper stopped out at 377.10

  
Daniel F. Bass
Registered Investment Advisor
Fellow of the Society of Actuaries
Member of the American Academy of Actuaries
http://www.bassanalytics.blogspot.com/
http://www.twitter.com/bassanalytics

 




Signals for Wednesday Afternoon

Exit Platinum, and stay long Crude Oil: CLH12. 

New signals:  buy the Euro Currency (this may be a short-lived signal, so ask to be added to my email list if you wish to know when there are updates).  buy Copper, and buy Soymeal.  Symbols are as follows:

Euro:  ECH12, and FXE
Copper:  HGH12 and JJC
Soymeal:  SMH12 with no ETF.

We have added some sections containing brokerage information relevant to the subject matter of the BLOG.


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Tuesday, January 17, 2012

Signals for Tomorrow

We were stopped out overnight of both of our new positions:  short silver, and long crude oil.

Fresh signals to:  buy crude oil (CLH12), and buy platinum (PLJ12).


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

CLH12 stopped out at 100.49

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Monday, January 16, 2012

silver stopped out at 30.15

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Signals for Tomorrow

Buy Crude Oil (CLH12) market on open. 

Sell Short Silver (SIH12)  market on open. 

This signals run contrary to each other.  Note for technicians.  Crude is in a high-level consolidation and over-sold (yes, over-sold).  Fundamentally, trouble in the Middle-East could result in "pop-ups."

Good luck!




If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics. This BLOG is provided FREE of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.