Historical Returns

The following represents the BLOG's 2010 ETF returns vis-a-vis other benchmark investment measures:

------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500

S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."

Monday, February 21, 2011

Crude Oil Gushes for a Gain on the Day of 6.3%!

Over the weekend, we told you about our signal to buy Crude Oil. We said:

"These algorithmically-generated signals are particularly disconcerting after the recent declines experienced. So, the signals seem counter-intuative from the charts. However, we'll stick with our methodology."

On Sunday afternoon, I was in Bristol Farms and I noticed that April Crude Oil had opened up $.33 per barrel. I was discouraged, thinking that I had bought higher than Friday's close and that this was not a good omen for the trading algorithm. Then Crude moved up $1 per barrel and I was relieved. It kept rallying and correcting, finishing up $5.68 per barrel, or 6.3%. This is a big gain for any investment on a single day. As I sit here this evening, after a wonderful birthday party for a friend, Crude is up another $2 per barrel. I am so glad that I stuck with the numbers, and not my own instincts.

The Crude ETF was not open today, so I am not sure that we will plunge into the ETF. Truly, the signal which initiated the position is based upon futures data, and is not appropriate 24 hours later. So, we won't be following the ETF OIL for this signal. Also, we bought soybeans at the open of 1379, and it is now trading at 1375. The stop is 1349.75.

Finally, we exited the Euro Currency and the Swiss Franc with minor gains. We were hoping for more, but while the metals and energy sectors went through the roof, the currencies fell against the U.S. Dollar for the most part.

There are no new signals for tomorrow. Have a great day!



If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
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