Our purpose is to quantitatively analyze markets to identify trends and over-bought/over-sold situations. We use computer programs applied to large amounts of data and trade markets by mathematical algorithms. We track these algorithmically-generated trades with ETFs and Futures. This BLOG is provided free of charge. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest.
Historical Returns
------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500
S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."
Monday, February 28, 2011
Platinum, Copper and Corn Gain....Two New Signals for Tomorrow
Symbols: ADH11 and FXA. Record: 36 wins out of 56 trades for 64%. Initial Stop: about 1.5% on the ETF, and the future stop is 1.0050.
Symbols: SMK11 and no ETF. Record: 52 wins out of 71 trades for 73%. Initial Stop: 349.8.
A realized loss on the short silver, and a realized gain on the soymeal. In the active portfolio, copper, corn, and platinum gained.
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Stopped Out of Short Silver Futures Position Intra-Day; Exit ETF on Close
Friday, February 25, 2011
Large Crude Oil Gain; Two Small Losses; Soymeal Surges
A plethora of new signals for tomorrow. We will actually fill the ETF portfolio, and put on five new futures positions.
Go LONG Copper. Symbols: HGK11 and JJC. Record: 32 wins out of 38 trades for 84%. Initial Stop: about 1.5%. There is a second signal as well, with a track record which was not as good.
Go LONG Platinum: PLJ11 and PGM. Record: 31 wins out of 36 trades for 86%. Initial Stop: about 1.5%.
Go Short Gold: Symbols: GCJ11 and GLD. Record: 26 wins out of 31 trades for 84%. Initial Stop: about 1.5%. There is also a second signal. I don't need to tell you how scary this signal is. Gold is in a bull market until proven otherwise. However, this signal asserts that Gold is short-term overbought.
Go Short Silver: Symbols: SIK11 and SLV. Record: 13 wins out of 16 trades for 81%. Initial Stop: about 1.0%. There is also a second signal. Silver is also in a bull market until proven otherwise. This signal says that Silver is overbought on a short-term basis.
In a way, the copper and platinum long hedge the short gold and silver. However, these signals could all be wrong (or right). We'll just have to wait and see.........
Go Long Corn: Symbols: CK11 and CORN. Record: 25 wins out of 30 trades for 83%. Initial Stop: about 5.1%. We'll follow the futures signal, but not the ETF, since 5.1% initial stop is beyond our risk tolerance.
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Thursday, February 24, 2011
Just Returned Home From An Investment Conference....
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Wednesday, February 23, 2011
Crude and Cocoa Up Again......and 3 New Exciting Signals
Symbols: NQH11 and QQQ; note that QQQ is a long fund. Record: 54 wins out of 60 trades for 90%. Initial Stop: about 4%. This is an atypically high initial stop for the BLOG.
Symbols: CH11 and CORN; note that CORN is a long fund. Record: 26 wins out of 30 trades for 87%. Initial Stop: about 4%. This is also an atypically high initial stop for the BLOG.
Symbols: NE1H11 and BNZ; note that BNZ is a long fund. Record: 79 wins out of 94 trades for 84%. Initial Stop: about 1.5%.
All new signals are to sell short: market on open.
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
No New Signals for Wednesday.........
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Monday, February 21, 2011
Crude Oil Gushes for a Gain on the Day of 6.3%!
"These algorithmically-generated signals are particularly disconcerting after the recent declines experienced. So, the signals seem counter-intuative from the charts. However, we'll stick with our methodology."
On Sunday afternoon, I was in Bristol Farms and I noticed that April Crude Oil had opened up $.33 per barrel. I was discouraged, thinking that I had bought higher than Friday's close and that this was not a good omen for the trading algorithm. Then Crude moved up $1 per barrel and I was relieved. It kept rallying and correcting, finishing up $5.68 per barrel, or 6.3%. This is a big gain for any investment on a single day. As I sit here this evening, after a wonderful birthday party for a friend, Crude is up another $2 per barrel. I am so glad that I stuck with the numbers, and not my own instincts.
The Crude ETF was not open today, so I am not sure that we will plunge into the ETF. Truly, the signal which initiated the position is based upon futures data, and is not appropriate 24 hours later. So, we won't be following the ETF OIL for this signal. Also, we bought soybeans at the open of 1379, and it is now trading at 1375. The stop is 1349.75.
Finally, we exited the Euro Currency and the Swiss Franc with minor gains. We were hoping for more, but while the metals and energy sectors went through the roof, the currencies fell against the U.S. Dollar for the most part.
There are no new signals for tomorrow. Have a great day!
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Sunday, February 20, 2011
Buy Crude Oil and Soybeans..............
Go LONG Crude Oil: Symbols: CLJ11 and OIL. Record: 31 wins out of 42 trades for 74%. Initial Stop: about 3%.
Go LONG Soybeans: Symbols: SH11 and no ETF. Record: 83 wins out of 103 trades for 81%. Initial Stop: about 2.6%.
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Thursday, February 17, 2011
Euro Rises Today; 3 New Signals for Tomorrow...........
Go LONG the Aussie Dollar: Symbols: ADH11 and FXA. Record: 37 wins out of 45 trades for 82%. Initial Stop: about 1.6%.
Go LONG the New Zealand Dollar: Symbols: NE1H11 and BNZ. Record: 19 wins out of 23 trades for 83%. Initial Stop: about 1.9%.
Notice the contagion risk between our existing Euro Position and that of the Swiss Franc. However, also note that our Euro has already "locked in" profits unless there is a market gap in price. Therefore, we will follow the Swiss Franc in the BLOG. In addition, there is a high degree of contagion risk between the Aussie Dollar and the New Zealand Dollar. We will choose the New Zealand Dollar because the algorithm for the Zealand has a much higher expected profit per trade than the Aussie. Note that both systems have great records anyway.
The algorithms are leading us to believe that the U.S. Dollar may again decline in value. Does any reader have a theory as to why this is the case? Please let me know through a comment directly on to the BLOG or by emailing me or tweeting me at the addresses below. My own theory is that the multiple middle-eastern country turmoil will lead the U.S. to spend yet more money that it does not have, increasing the debt, and further devaluing our currency. Again, I welcome other views. Rarely does a currency move for only one reason.
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Buy Euro Currency for Tomorrow.......
Symbols: ECH11 and FXE. Record: 11 wins out of 12 trades for 92%. Initial Stop: about 1.2%.
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Swiss France Stopped Out at $103.69 Overnight; no ETF Entry
Tuesday, February 15, 2011
BLOG Aplauds Today as the Bottom Falls Out of Wheat
New Signal: Go LONG the Swiss Franc: Symbols: SFH11 and FXF. Record: 21 wins out of 21 trades for 100%. Initial Stop: about 1.9%.
Good luck and see you tomorrow.
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Copper Future Stopped Out Overnight Invalidating ETF Buy
Monday, February 14, 2011
Silver Zooms Upward with a Gain of 2.4%.
Symbols: HGH11 and JJC. Record: 85 wins out of 114 trades for 75%. Initial Stop: about 1%.
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Sunday, February 13, 2011
Signals for Valentine's Day Are "Heartless."
Go Short the New Zealand Dollar. Symbols: NE1H11 and BNZ. Record: 78 wins out of 94 trades for 83%. Initial Stop: about 1.5%.
Go Short Wheat. Symbol: WH11; there is no ETF. Record: 34 wins out of 45 trades for 76%.
Thanks for your interest in the BLOG; we'll see you tomorrow.
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalytics.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Thursday, February 10, 2011
No New Signals for Tomorrow: Gold Out for Profit
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalyticsAny views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Wednesday, February 9, 2011
Stops for the New Signals are Ready
BO11, Bean Oil, stop sell 58.10.
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/bassanalyticsAny views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Two Hot New Signals in the Grain Sector!
Go LONG SoyOil: Symbols: BOH11. Record: 39 wins out of 51 trades for 77%. Initial Stop: about $900.
There are no pure ETF plays on these trades that I know of. Good luck!
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Follow us at Twitter at www.twitter.com. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Tuesday, February 8, 2011
Gold Position is Up Strongly; New Signal to Buy Sliver Tomorrow
Gold soars today for a gain of 1.2%. As a result, our ETF portfolio gains ground. We are quite unlucky on Soybeans: the low is 1414 and we are stopped out at 1414.5. A rally follows.
The big gainer in the markets today is Silver, with a 3.4% gain. Our signal is a buy signal in a market that appears to be overbought; therefore, it is a non-intuitive signal. Throw caution to the wind.
See you tomorrow.
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Monday, February 7, 2011
No New Signals for Tomorrow; Massive Copper Profits Taken
1) We took good profits in Copper as documented below.
2) We started a new position in Gold.
The markets are quiet overseas tonight; of one thing we can be sure: this never persists for very long. See you tomorrow!
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Cotton Stopped Out Sunday Night, therefore, No ETF signal for Monday
Sunday, February 6, 2011
Cotton Stopped Out Sunday Night, therefore, No ETF signal for Monday
Friday, February 4, 2011
Bass Market Analytics is Now On Twitter at "bassanalytics"
Two New Signals for Monday: Buy Gold and Sell Cotton
Go LONG Gold: Symbols: GCJ11 and GLD. Record: 75 wins out of 88 trades for 85%. Initial Stop: about 2.0%.
Go SHORT Cotton: Symbols: CTH11 and BAL. Record: 8 wins out of 11 trades for 72%. Initial Stop: about 2.8%.
I am having trouble justifying the cotton signal. The principles are sound, but the number of trades is small. Also, Cotton has been on a path straight up this year, so it is scary to go short. Nonetheless, I shall probably track it since the algorithm was developed so as to measure an extremely over-bought condition. Likewise, the other signal is saying Gold is over-sold.
See you Monday!
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Thursday, February 3, 2011
Thursday Sees Some Positions Stopped Out
Thursday saw a number of our positions stopped out. On the day, Sugar plummeted almost 10%; however, we still exited with an overall profit. The Canadian Dollar was stopped out, and our new position in Heating Oil. The Canadian gave us a gain, while Heating Oil generated a loss. The Russell ETF exited on the open today, so it is shown again. Overall, it was a down day for the BLOG. We are now down to three ETF positions, so we're ready to take on new signals when they arise.
See you tomorrow!
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Heating Oil Stopped Out Intra-Day; Exit Heating Oil ETF on Close
Wednesday, February 2, 2011
Signals "Heat Up"
Go LONG Heating Oil: Symbols: HOH11 and UHN. Record: 52 wins out of 80 trades for 65%. Initial Stop: about 1.2%.
Exit Russell ETF Market on Open. Future for Russell 2000 stopped out at 793.90. Note that the stop we listed in yesterday's portfolio was 793.70. The stop was raised intra-day by the algorithm, and that was the low for the day. Therefore, the computer exited us from the Russell 2000 future; thus, the ETF IWM will be exited on the open tomorrow. We show the results for the Russell 2000 below; however, the ETF exit point will be revised tomorrow. Note that the closure of this position allows us to go long Heating Oil.
Heating Oil has been on a rampage to the upside. Therefore, it seems extremely over-bought to me. My instincts tell me I shouldn't be buying Heating Oil at these levels. However, the algorithm tells me otherwise. We'll see. This is one in which I am second-guessing the computer.
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.
Tuesday, February 1, 2011
Massive Gains Today for the Portfolio; No New Signals for Tomorrow
Our Portfolio:
If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.