Historical Returns

The following represents the BLOG's 2010 ETF returns vis-a-vis other benchmark investment measures:

------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500


S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Coffee Stopped Out After Long Run!

Coffee was stopped out with nice gains after a run of 39 days.

We have two new signals for tomorrow: buy Sugar and sell short Corn. Yes, that's short corn!

Here are the statistics:

LONG SUGAR:
Symbols: SBH11 and SGG.
Record: 63 wins out of 105 trades for 60%.
Initial Stop: about 3.7%.

SHORT CORN:
Symbols: CH11 and CORN.
Record: 25 wins out of 28 trades for 89%.
Initial Stop: about 5.5%.

Both of these signals carry relatively deep initial percentage stops. Therefore, we will not add them to our ETF portfolio. However, I will follow both in the futures markets. I am bullish on Sugar long-term, so I like the Sugar signal. I am also bullish on Corn, so I detest the short Corn signal. Also, of late the grain sector has been extremely strong. However, I will follow both signals. Hopefully, I'll be right on at least one.......we'll see.

PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Euro ECH11 129.72 134.66 131.49 $6,175 10
Long Euro FXE 129.88 134.21 131.05 3.3% 10
Long Cocoa CCH11 2936 3178 2978 $2,420 10
Long Aussie ADH11 98.88 98.05 97.57 -$830 8
Long Aussie FXA 100.24 98.99 98.51 -1.2% 8
Long Lumber LBH11 307 304.5 284.7 -$275 7

CLOSED OUT SYMBOL ENTRY OUT PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 228.50 $7,388 39
Long Coffee JO 57.57 61.03 6.0% 39

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

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