Historical Returns

The following represents the BLOG's 2010 ETF returns vis-a-vis other benchmark investment measures:

------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500


S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."

Monday, January 31, 2011

Fresh New Signals Come Out of Our Computer

New Signals:

Go LONG Gold: Symbols: GCJ11 and GLD. Record: 73 wins out of 87 trades for 84%. Initial Stop: about 2%. Note: our ETF portfolio is full right now at five positions, so we will only track the signal for the futures here in the BLOG. Caution is certainly warrented, since technicians will observe that the chart of Gold is in a declining tops configuration.

Go SHORT Wheat (again): Symbol: WH11. Record: 33 wins out of 44 trades for 75%. Initial Stop: $1100.

What an interesting day! The long soybeans and short wheat cancelled themselves out. The currencies rose against the dollar, copper surged ahead, and the Russell 2000 was up. So, our portfolio did quite well.

Our Portfolio:




If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Saturday, January 29, 2011

New Signals Send Mixed Messages

New Signals:

Go LONG Soybeans: Symbols: SH11. Record: 37 wins out of 57 trades for 65%. Initial Stop shallow at $800.

Go SHORT Wheat: Symbols: WH11. Record: 33 wins out of 43 trades for 76%. Initial Stop shallow at $1100.

These are mixed and confusing signals at best. While both grains have rallied of late, our computer programs show us going different directions on Monday. Still more confusing is the fundamental news released last week, that China expects 6 million less bushels of wheat to be produced this year. Then again, in the stock market we know the old adage "buy the rumor, sell the fact." So, you decide what is right, of course. These signals are algorithmically-generated results.

Another signal came through to buy copper, and we are already long, so this will have no effect on the BLOG. Still, we see it as a of confirmation of our other signal. Of course, copper was profitable for us on Friday.

However, we got "hammered" on our Russell position. The news out of the Middle East generated trepidation, and sent stock markets down and crude oil prices surging upward.

This is evolving into a fun year. I welcome comments from readers as always. You are a great group, full of insightful opinions regarding just about everything. Until tomorrow...goodbye.

Our Portfolio:


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Preview for Monday

Buy Copper again.....buy soybeans.....sell wheat. Details will follow.





If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Thursday, January 27, 2011

Signals for Friday

New Signals:

Go LONG the Russell 2000 Stock Market Index: Symbols: TFH11 and IWM. Record: 75 wins out of 81 trades for 93%. Initial Stop: about 3.5%.

Go LONG Copper: Symbols: HGH11 and JJC. Record: 41 wins out of 48 trades for 85%. Initial Stop: about 1.5%.

Finally, cover the short soybeans futures position from yesterday.

Short soybeans lost money and we are out. The long Russell made money and we are out intra-day, and now back in again. Wheat was stopped out with a profit.

Our Portfolio:


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

BLOG Update--Full BLOG To Follow Later in the Evening

Three things: cover short soybeans with probably a small loss. Second, the Russell was stopped out today with a profit; buy it again on open. Third, buy copper on open. Details will follow later.


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Wednesday, January 26, 2011

One New Surprising Signal

New Signals: Go SHORT Soybeans: Symbols: SH11. Record: 29 wins out of 39 trades for 74%. Initial Stop: about 2.3%.

As you know, we made good profits on our long wheat position, so shorting Soybeans "goes against the grain." Pun intended. Take this signal at your own risk.

There are three other signals that we will not track. They are: Long the Euro (we are already long the Euro), Long the Swiss Franc (too much contagion risk for me here), and Long the New Zealand Dollar (we are already long the Aussie).

One reader of the BLOG, Mike suggested that the portfolio data that is presented every day needed some format improvements. I took that advice to heart, and I have come out with the format below. Thanks to another reader, San for his help.

I am always open to suggestions from readers; please contact me at the email address below.

See you tomorrow! Our portfolio is looking good.

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Tuesday, January 25, 2011

Provacative New Signals for Tomorrow

New Signals:

Go LONG the Aussie Dollar: Symbols: ADH11 and FXA. Record: 22 wins out of 28 trades for 79%. Initial Stop: about 1.6%.

Go LONG the Russell 2000 Stock Market Index: Symbols: TFH11 and IWM. Record: 32 wins out of 34 trades for 94%. Initial Stop: about 2.5%.

This signal directly contradicts our signal to sell short the S&P 500 Index. Given the record of the Russell System, and the fact that the Russell signal is "fresher," we will go long the Russell and cover the short position in the S&P. Stock market signals are always "exciting" for me, because anything can happen. I've learned over the years that, at least for me, the stock markets are the most difficult to predict.


Our Portfolio:
Postion SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Euro ECH11 129.72 136.70 133.76 $8,725 15
Long Euro FXE 129.88 136.28 133.35 4.9% 15
Long Cocoa CCH11 2936 3335 3118 $3,990 15
Long Sugar SBH11 31.39 32.31 31.75 $1,030 5
Short Corn CH11 656 644.25 647.75 $588 5
Long Wheat WZ10 829.25 844.50 839.25 $763 4


CLOSED OUT SYMBOL ENTRY OUT PROFIT DAYS
Long Lumber LBH11 307 313.3 $693 12

We'll Post Short S&P and Long Copper tomorrow after we know the exit points for the ETFs. We are exiting both on the New York Open.



If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Monday, January 24, 2011

New Signals for Tuesday:

Go LONG Canadian Dollar: Symbols: CDH11 and FXC. Record: 75 wins out of 80 trades for 93%. Initial Stop: about 1.8%.

Go LONG Copper: Symbols: HGH11 and JJC. Record: 41 wins out of 47 trades for 87%. Initial Stop: about 1.5%.


Our Portfolio:

PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Euro ECH11 129.72 136.31 133.76 $8,238 14
Long Euro FXE 129.88 135.92 133.38 4.7% 14
Long Cocoa CCH11 2936 3312 3118 $3,760 14
Long Lumber LBH11 307 318.4 313.3 $1,254 11
Long Sugar SBH11 31.39 32.31 31.18 $1,030 4
Short Corn CH11 656 653.5 692 $125 4
Short S&P SPH11 1279.50 1288.50 1311 -$450 3
Short S&P SH 42.97 42.69 41.96 -0.7% 3
Long Wheat WH11 829.25 834.00 809.25 $238 3

CLOSED OUT SYMBOL ENTRY OUT PROFIT DAYS
Long Aussie ADH11 98.88 98.27 -$610 12
Long Aussie FXA 100.24 99.38 -0.9% 12

We made good gains today in Lumber and the Euro Currency and Cocoa.

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Saturday, January 22, 2011

Euro Currency Soars on Friday; Lumber is Up the Limit

Today saw our long Euro Currency position soar ahead.  Also, our long lumber position was up the limit.  Our portfolio appears below.

We have two new signals for tomorrow:

Buy Wheat:  symbol is WH11, and there is no ETF yet, to my knowledge.  The track record is 29 wins out of 38 trades for 76%.  Initial stop is about 2.4%.


Sell Short the S&P.  Symbols: ESH11 and SH (this is a short ETF).  The track record is 19 wins out of 25 trades for 76%.   Initial Stop: is about 2.5%.

Finally, we got a signal to sell short the Aussie Dollar.  This will close out our long position on the Aussie when the markets open after the weekend.

A little commentary is warrented here.  We are short Corn, so the Wheat signal seems contradictory.  Also, the U.S. Stock Markets have been in a very vicious bull market.  A short signal here seems totally contra-intuative.  But, that's precisely why we trade algorithmically rather than emotionally.

PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS

Long Euro ECH11 129.72 136.17 133.18 $8,062 12
Long Euro FXE 129.88 135.63 132.65 4.4% 12
Long Cocoa CCH11 2936 3184 2990 $2,480 12
Long Aussie ADH11 98.88 98.35 97.57 -$530 10
Long Aussie FXA 100.24 99.24 98.45 -1.0% 10
Long Lumber LBH11 307 313.4 309.4 $704 9
Long Sugar SBH11 31.39 32.33 31.18 $1,053 2
Short Corn CH11 656 657.25 692 -$63 2


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post. Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Coffee Stopped Out After Long Run!

Coffee was stopped out with nice gains after a run of 39 days.

We have two new signals for tomorrow: buy Sugar and sell short Corn. Yes, that's short corn!

Here are the statistics:

LONG SUGAR:
Symbols: SBH11 and SGG.
Record: 63 wins out of 105 trades for 60%.
Initial Stop: about 3.7%.

SHORT CORN:
Symbols: CH11 and CORN.
Record: 25 wins out of 28 trades for 89%.
Initial Stop: about 5.5%.

Both of these signals carry relatively deep initial percentage stops. Therefore, we will not add them to our ETF portfolio. However, I will follow both in the futures markets. I am bullish on Sugar long-term, so I like the Sugar signal. I am also bullish on Corn, so I detest the short Corn signal. Also, of late the grain sector has been extremely strong. However, I will follow both signals. Hopefully, I'll be right on at least one.......we'll see.

PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Euro ECH11 129.72 134.66 131.49 $6,175 10
Long Euro FXE 129.88 134.21 131.05 3.3% 10
Long Cocoa CCH11 2936 3178 2978 $2,420 10
Long Aussie ADH11 98.88 98.05 97.57 -$830 8
Long Aussie FXA 100.24 98.99 98.51 -1.2% 8
Long Lumber LBH11 307 304.5 284.7 -$275 7

CLOSED OUT SYMBOL ENTRY OUT PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 228.50 $7,388 39
Long Coffee JO 57.57 61.03 6.0% 39

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Results for 2010 Published

Our return on ETFs was 26.6% for 2010. There was a spectacular gain in futures as well. Our return compares favorably to the S&P 500 benchmark stock index, which returned less than 13%.

There are no new signals for tomorrow.

Our portfolio is shown below; we are disappointed only with our new lumber position. However, overnight in foreign markets lumber has increased in price by 1.5%. Whether this will last remains to be seen; however, it is encouraging.

PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 232.50 228.5 $8,888 38
Long Coffee JO 57.57 62.10 61.03 7.9% 38
Long Euro ECH11 129.72 134.68 131.49 $6,200 9
Long Euro FXE 129.88 134.17 130.99 3.3% 9
Long Cocoa CCH11 2936 3100 2950 $1,640 9
Long Aussie ADH11 98.88 99.21 97.57 $330 7
Long Aussie FXA 100.24 100.26 98.60 0.0% 7
Long Lumber LBH11 307 297.6 284.7 -$1,034 6

See you tomorrow.

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

We were stopped out of the Japanese Yen futures with a profit. This means the ETF should be exited upon the open tomorrow.

There are no new signals for tonight. This could be the "quiet before the storm." Most of the positions were up today.


PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 235.35 228.5 $9,956 37
Long Coffee JO 57.57 63.21 61.37 9.8% 37
Long Euro ECH11 129.72 133.81 131.49 $5,113 8
Long Euro FXE 129.88 133.29 130.98 2.6% 8
Long Cocoa CCH11 2936 3036 2950 $1,000 8
Long Aussie ADH11 98.88 99.21 97.57 $330 6
Long Aussie FXA 100.24 98.98 97.34 -1.3% 6
Long Lumber LBH11 307 297.1 284.7 -$1,089 5


CLOSED OUT SYMBOL ENTRY OUT PROFIT DAYS
Long Japanese Yen JYH11 120.67 120.88 $262 2
Long Japanese Yen FXY 119.47 119.60 0.1% 2


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Monday, January 17, 2011

Post for Tuesday

The currencies gained ground today, although grains and softs markets were closed.

PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 234.60 228.5 $9,675 36
Long Coffee JO 57.57 62.92 61.28 9.3% 36
Long Euro ECH11 129.72 132.89 131.49 $3,962 7
Long Euro FXE 129.88 133.20 131.80 2.6% 7
Long Cocoa CCH11 2936 3019 2950 $830 7
Long Aussie ADH11 98.88 98.71 97.57 -$170 5
Long Aussie FXA 100.24 93.13 92.05 -7.1% 5
Long Lumber LBH11 307 304.2 284.7 -$308 4
Long Japanese Yen JYH11 120.67 120.97 120.88 $375 1
Long Japanese Yen FXY 119.47 119.09 119.00 -0.3% 1

There were no positions closed out today and no new signals.

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Sunday, January 16, 2011

Signals for Monday

Our portfolio is in good shape We are disappointed with the Aussie, but happy with the Euro. Corn also did well for us in a short period of time. There is one new signal for tomorrow: buy the Japanese Yen. Track record: 31 wins out of 38 trades for 81%. Symbols are JYH11 and FXY.

While it makes me nervous to be long 3 foreign currencies at once, there are some mitigating factors.

1) We have already established some profits on the Euro.
2) The Aussie, Euro and Japanese Yen are distinctly different. Sometimes, the Yen and Aussie are negatively correlated for months.

However, often all the currencies run together in the same direction. Nonetheless, the track record on the Yen is quite good, so we hate to pass it up.

Our portfolio:

PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 234.60 226.25 $9,675 35
Long Coffee JO 57.57 62.92 60.68 9.3% 35
Long Euro ECH11 129.72 133.73 131.49 $5,012 6
Long Euro FXE 129.88 133.20 130.97 2.6% 6
Long Cocoa CCH11 2936 3019 2950 $830 6
Long Aussie ADH11 98.88 98.21 97.57 -$670 4
Long Aussie FXA 100.24 99.13 98.48 -1.1% 4
Long Lumber LBH11 307 304.2 284.7 -$308 3


CLOSED OUT SYMBOL ENTRY OUT PROFIT DAYS
Long Corn CH11 633.5 642 $425 2

See you tomorrow!

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Thursday, January 13, 2011

A Mixed Day with Upward Bias

We had mixed results today: we were stopped out of Copper and Cotton with losses; however, we were stopped out of Crude Oil with a gain, and our open Euro position soared spectacularly to give us an overall gain. Corn gained as well.

Our open portfolio is:
PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 237.50 226.25 $10,763 32
Long Coffee JO 57.57 63.80 60.78 10.8% 32
Long Euro ECH11 129.72 133.61 130.06 $4,863 3
Long Euro FXE 129.88 132.96 129.43 2.4% 3
Long Cocoa CCH11 2936 2952 2746 $160 3
Long Corn CH11 633.5 642.5 641.75 $450 1

And our positions closed out were:
CLOSED OUT SYMBOL ENTRY OUT PROFIT DAYS
Long Copper HGH11 441.70 437.10 -$1,150 1
Long Copper JJC 58.56 57.88 -1.2% 1
Long Cotton CTH11 149.34 144.74 -$2,300 2
Long Cotton BAL 76.85 73.78 -4.0% 2
Long Crude Oil CLH11 92.19 92.66 $470 3
Long Crude Oil OIL 25.73 25.62 -0.4% 3

We have two interesting new signals for tomorrow: buy Lumber and buy the Aussie Dollar.

I don't know of an ETF for Lumber, but the futures symbol is LBH11. The track record is 33 wins out of 45 trades for 73%. I like this trade because I believe in the expansion of worldwide building. If any of you know of a Lumber ETF, please let me know and I'll let the BLOG readers know.

Many of you know that I have multiple signals running on the investments I track. Tonight, I received four separate algorithmically generated signals to buy the Aussie Dollar. We'll only track one of them for the BLOG, but having four is a very good omen. The symbols are ADH11 and FXA. The track record is 35 wins out of 43 trades for 81%. Good luck!






If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Commodities Take Off

There were some big gains in food today, so our coffee position soared. Our new positions were mixed.

The portfolio:

PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 240.60 226.25 $11,925 31
Long Coffee JO 57.57 64.56 60.71 12.1% 31
Long Euro ECH11 129.72 131.31 130.06 $1,988 2
Long Euro FXE 129.88 130.78 129.54 0.7% 2
Long Crude Oil CLH11 92.19 92.87 92.66 $680 2
Long Crude Oil OIL 25.73 25.68 25.62 -0.2% 2
Long Cotton CTH11 149.34 149.97 144.74 $315 2
Long Cotton BAL 76.85 76.45 73.78 -0.5% 2
Long Cocoa CCH11 2936 2959 2746 $230 2

Closed Out Positions:

CLOSED OUT SYMBOL ENTRY OUT PROFIT DAYS

Long Sugar SBH11 32.75 31.54 -$1,355 1
Long Silver SIH11 29.545 29.670 $625 1
Long Silver SLV 28.95 29.00 0.2% 1

Sugar was stopped out with a maximum futures loss; however, no ETF position was taken per yesterday's BLOG Post.

Silver rose and gained in the futures market and was stopped out. ETF traders would exit on the open tomorrow.

There are a plethora of new signals for tomorrow: Buy Corn, Copper, Aussie Dollar, Soybeans and the British Pound. The BLOG will track the Corn as a future, since the intial stop is too deep for an ETF. We'll also go long Copper. The symbols are HGH11 and JJC. The track record is 108 trades out of 124 for 87%. For corn, the symbol is CH11 and the track record is 24 wins out of 29 trades for 83%.

We'll pass on the other signals because we can only add one more ETF and

1) The record on Soybeans is not as good as Corn and there is no ETF anyway

2) There is too much contagion risk with the British Pound and Euro Currency

3) We'll also pass on the Aussie, since we are already long a currency and need a metal in the portfolio.

See you tomorrow!

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Tuesday, January 11, 2011

.....And the Boards Light Up

We are amazed that after a "dry" period of signals, that the Boards Lit Up Tonight. One signal to buy Silver, Euro Currency, Crude Oil, Cocoa, and Sugar. On top of these, there are three signals to buy Cotton. Since our portfolio already has one ETF position, we may only follow 4 of the signals to complete our portfolio. In order to decide what to do, we'll present the track records of each of the signals, and then make the best decisions possible.

1) Buy Silver. Symbols SIH11 and SLV. Track record 98 wins out of 125 trades for 78%. This has been a very short duration signal.

2) Buy Euro Currency. Symbols ECH11 and FXE. Track record 79 wins out of 99 trades for 80%.

3) Buy Crude Oil. Symbols CLH11 and OIL. Track record 38 wins out of 52 trades for 73%.

4) Buy Cocoa. Symbols CCH11 and NB. Track record 311 wins out of 386 trades for 81%. An impressive record, but a 6.6% initial stop is too much to risk on our ETF portfolio. A $1900 initial stop for the futures, so we'll track the futures in the BLOG, but not the ETF.

5) Buy Sugar. Symbols SBH11 and SGG. Track record 58 wins out of 97 trades for 60%. A good record, but unfortunately, an initial stop of 4.1% for the ETF is too high for our BLOG. We'll track the future but not the ETF.

6) Buy Cotton. Symbols CTH11 and BAL. Track record 42 wins out of 52 trades for 81%. Initial stop of 2.2% is acceptable.

So, for our ETFs we'll be following Silver, Euro, Crude and Cotton. We'll follow the futures for these as well. In addition, we'll follow the futures for Sugar and Cocoa.

Our portfolio looks like:

PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 234.70 226.25 $9,713 30
Long Coffee JO 57.57 62.99 60.72 9.4% 30

And will soon be much larger.

Good luck!

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Monday, January 10, 2011

Post for Tuesday

No signals for Tuesday. Our portfolio still consists only of coffee.

PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 231.25 226.25 $8,419 29
Long Coffee JO 57.57 61.94 60.60 7.6% 29



If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Saturday, January 8, 2011

Post for Monday

PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 233.00 226.25 $9,075 27
Long Coffee JO 57.57 62.26 60.46 8.1% 27

No new positions for Monday.


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Thursday, January 6, 2011

BLOG for Friday

Today was rather lackluster, save a major drop in Sugar. Our portfolio is minimal, with one ETF position.

PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 233.00 226.25 $9,075 25
Long Coffee JO 57.57 62.26 60.46 8.1% 25

There was one new position this afternoon, to sell short silver. However, it has already been stopped out with a gain. Since we didn't write this BLOG in time, we will ignore it for BLOG tracking purposes.




If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

Most Positions Stopped Out on January 4

Our portfolio has shrunk from 5 positions not long ago, to only 1 position today.

PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 234.95 226.25 $9,806 23
Long Coffee JO 57.57 62.41 60.10 8.4% 23

CLOSED OUT SYMBOL ENTRY OUT PROFIT DAYS
Long Swiss SFH11 107.16 105.96 -$1,500 2
Long Swiss FXF 105.97 104.92 -1.0% 2
Long Copper JJC 57.63 58.87 2.2% 7
Long British BPH11 154.11 154.60 $306 7
Long British FXB 152.98 153.67 0.5% 7
Long Gold GCG10 1386.30 1397.7 $1,140 14
Long Gold GLD 135.60 135.49 -0.1% 14

The loss on the Swiss Franc was our largest for the New Year. However, as you know, only 20% of our ETF portfolio is allocated to each position, therefore, a 1% loss on the Swiss represents a .2% loss to the portfolio. This is our strategy, to minimize losses, and to let the winning trades run. This is evidenced by the accumulated gain in coffee.

There are no new signals for tomorrow.


If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Monday, January 3, 2011

New Year Begins

Happy New Year! I hope your New Year was the best ever!


Coffee continues to reign as king, with our porfolio shown below. The Copper futures were stopped out, but the ETF on Copper remains active.


PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS
Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 240.50 226.25 $11,888 22
Long Coffee JO 57.57 64.62 60.79 12.2% 22
Long Gold GCG10 1386.30 1422.9 1397 $3,660 13
Long Gold GLD 135.60 138.00 135.49 1.8% 13
Long British BPH11 154.11 154.85 154.6 $462 7
Long British FXB 152.98 153.92 153.67 0.6% 7
Long Copper JJC 57.63 59.10 58.87 2.6% 6
Long Swiss SFH11 107.16 107.21 105.96 $62 1
Long Swiss FXF 105.97 106.16 104.92 0.2% 1

The Copper futures were very profitable in just 6 days:

CLOSED OUT SYMBOL ENTRY OUT PROFIT DAYS
Long Copper HGH11 432.65 443.65 $2,750 6

One new signal for tomorrow: buy the Euro Currency. However, were are already long the British Pound and Swiss Franc, so we will pass on this signal for the BLOG due to contagion risk.

Results for the year will be published as soon as they are available.





If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.

Sunday, January 2, 2011

This is our portfolio as of year-end:


PORTFOLIO SYMBOL ENTRY CLOSE STOP PROFIT DAYS


Long Coffee KCH11 208.80 240.50 226.25 $11,888 21
Long Coffee JO 57.57 64.03 60.24 11.2% 21
Long Gold GCG10 1386.30 1422 1397 $3,570 12
Long Gold GLD 135.60 138.72 136.28 2.3% 12
Long British BPH11 154.11 155.76 154.6 $1,031 6
Long British FXB 152.98 155.77 154.61 1.8% 6
Long Copper HGH11 432.65 444.70 439.65 $3,013 5
Long Copper JJC 57.63 59.10 58.43 2.6% 5

There is one new signal for tomorrow: buy the Swiss Franc. The symbols are FXF, and SFH11. The track record is: 48 wins out of 59 trades for 81%.

Summary statistics for the year will be available soon.







If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.Any views expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should discuss any investment with their personal investment counsel. The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy. We may have positions in one or more of the ETFs or futures of the computer-generated signals.