Historical Returns

The following represents the BLOG's 2010 ETF returns vis-a-vis other benchmark investment measures:

------------$Initial-----%Growth----$Return-----$Result
BLOG-----$100,000----26.6%-----$26,646-----$126,646
S&P 500--$100,000----12.8%-----$12,783------$112,783
1.5% CD--$100,000-----1.5%----- $1,500-----$101,500


S&P result excludes dividends.
Return on one Futures Contract: $137,684 (roughly margin of $25,000 to $50,000).
Please see the BLOG page on "Shortcomings and Limitations."

Wednesday, March 17, 2010

A Record Gain in One Position for the Day

I believe that we set a record for a single position gain for the day: the Cocoa ETF was up 2.63%. Our Russell, Euro and Aussie all gained about .5%. The biggest loser for the day was cotton, with a loss of .75%. However, taken together, our computer-generated portfolio gained on the day.

As you can see from the table below, Cotton is up 15%, the Russell 2000 up 11%, and Platinum is up 5.8%. These are nice gains, and have increased the portfolio's value since the update on return from last week.

Now, for the difficult part to explain. We had computer-generated buy signals on both gold and silver. Both positions got stopped out on the futures overnight, therefore, for ETF purposes we should not track them in the BLOG. However, if one had entered silver on the open of the ETF, it would be slightly up on the day. If one had entered gold on the open, one would be slightly down. However, we received another buy signal on gold for tomorrow. Same win ratio as quoted in the last BLOG, except with one more win. Questions or comments? Please email me and I'll try and respond as soon as I can.

Also for tomorrow, new signals to buy copper (not always correlated with the precious metals), with a win ratio of 81/99 =82%. The futures symbol is HGK10, and ETF is JJC. Buy the Japanese Yen is also another new signal. I saw an analyst on Bloomberg today that said that Japan is finally in a good place economically, and is finally in a better spot than the U.S. to grow. The system generated 25 wins out of 26 trades for 92%. Finally, a signal to buy the New Zealand Dollar. This system has 27 wins out of 32 trades. Since New Zealand and Australia have very similar economies, I regard this as a redundant signal with the Aussie Dollar, and have a mind not to track it in the BLOG. Note: the Japanese Yen was stopped out overnight.

The full table of our computer-generated portfolio appears below. It is in pretty good shape.


Open Positions Symbol Entry Stop Close Profit

Long Cotton CTK10 70.34 78.40 81.17 $5,415
Long Cotton BAL 34.02 37.79 39.13 15.0%
Long Russell TFH10 611.00 644.70 680.30 $6,930
Long Russell IWM 61.66 64.89 68.47 11.0%
Long Platinum PLJ10 1534.90 1563.30 1635.60 $5,035
Long Platinum PTM 18.40 18.60 19.46 5.8%
Long Aussie ADM10 89.58 90.05 91.48 $1,900
Long Aussie FXA 90.30 90.99 92.44 2.4%
Long Cocoa CCK10 2857.00 2890.00 2905.00 $480
Long Cocoa NIB 41.76 43.03 43.25 3.6%
Short Euro ECM10 136.78 138.38 137.36 -$725
Short Euro EUO 20.20 19.95 20.10 -0.5%

If you wish to be notified of new posts, let me know at bassanalytics@live.com. I will send you an email every time there is a new post.

Any views expressed herein are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest.

The quotes and symbols used in the BLOG are believed to be reliable, but no guarantees are made with regard to the accuracy.

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